Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 13 2025 19:58:35

ACUS01 KWNS 131958
SWODY1
SPC AC 131957

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0157 PM CST Mon Jan 13 2025

Valid 132000Z - 141200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. Isolated
thunderstorms may occur along/near the western Florida Gulf Coast
today.

....20Z Update...
Recent surface observations, visible satellite imagery, and ACARS
soundings indicate stable boundary-layer conditions on land over the
western Florida Gulf Coast. Therefore, the general thunderstorm
highlights have been confined to the immediate coastal areas and
nearshore waters.

...Weinman.. 01/13/2025

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1016 AM CST Mon Jan 13 2025/

....Synopsis and Discussion...
Low-level warm/moist advection ahead of a weak surface low over the
northern Gulf will support eastward-developing convection today.
Most of this activity will remain over the open waters of the
northeast Gulf. Still, a few thunderstorms could approach parts of
the western Florida Gulf Coast. With poor lapse rates aloft,
instability should remain minimal over land. Accordingly, severe
thunderstorms are not expected.

$$

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