Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jan 12 2025 19:37:28

ACUS01 KWNS 121937
SWODY1
SPC AC 121935

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 PM CST Sun Jan 12 2025

Valid 122000Z - 131200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected, but isolated thunderstorms
may occur along parts of the central Gulf Coast tonight.

....20z Update..
No changes are need to the current D1 Convective Outlook. See
previous discussion below for more information.

...Thornton/Gleason.. 01/12/2025

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1010 AM CST Sun Jan 12 2025/

....Synopsis and Discussion...
Large-scale upper troughing will persist over much of the CONUS
today, with meager low-level moisture limiting thunderstorm
potential over a large majority of the country. One exception may be
along/near the coast from far southeast LA to the western FL
Panhandle vicinity. A weak surface low is forecast to develop across
the northwest to north-central Gulf tonight. Increasing low-level
moisture and warm advection may support weak MUCAPE and isolated
thunderstorm potential across this region through early Monday
morning. However, it still appears likely that appreciable
surface-based instability and greater thunderstorm chances will
remain mostly offshore.

$$

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