Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jan 10 2025 16:26:53

ACUS01 KWNS 101626
SWODY1
SPC AC 101624

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1024 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

Valid 101630Z - 111200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. Occasional
thunderstorms and windy/rainy conditions may occur across parts of
the central Gulf Coast.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
Within a highly amplified longwave pattern over much of the
central/southern CONUS, an embedded positively tilted upper trough
will continue to develop south-southeastward over northern Mexico,
while another embedded shortwave trough amplifies over the
Midwest/OH Valley. Ahead of these features, robust low-level
warm/moist advection will continue to foster widespread
precipitation regionally, with isolated thunderstorm potential
focused along/near the central Gulf Coast where weak MUCAPE may
exist. Surface-based instability is expected to generally remain
offshore, limiting severe potential. Still, given ample lift and
strong low-level winds near the eastward-moving cold front and a
near-coastal surface low, there is some potential that gusty winds
augmented by a low-topped convective line could occur along the
immediate coast from far southern AL into parts of the FL Panhandle.

...Gleason/Thornton.. 01/10/2025

$$

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