Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jan 10 2025 12:54:33

ACUS01 KWNS 101254
SWODY1
SPC AC 101252

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0652 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

Valid 101300Z - 111200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. A few
thunderstorms and windy/rainy conditions are likely across parts of
the middle Gulf Coast.

....Middle Gulf Coast...
Within a highly amplified longwave pattern, an embedded low-latitude
positive-tilt upper trough will continue to settle
south-southeastward over northern Mexico, while another embedded
shortwave trough amplifies over the Ozarks and Midwest.
Trough-preceding warm/moist advection will continue to result in
widespread precipitation regionally, with isolated/episodic
thunderstorm potential focused along the middle Gulf coast where
weak elevated buoyancy exists. Surface-based buoyancy should
generally remain offshore, limiting severe potential. But given
ample lift and strong low-level winds near the eastward-moving cold
front and near-coastal surface wave, there is some potential that
gusty winds, possibly augmented by heavier convective precipitation,
could occur along the immediate coast from far southeast Mississippi
to far southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle.

...Guyer/Dean.. 01/10/2025

$$

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