Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jan 08 2025 16:25:14

ACUS01 KWNS 081625
SWODY1
SPC AC 081623

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1023 AM CST Wed Jan 08 2025

Valid 081630Z - 091200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected, but very isolated
thunderstorms are possible late tonight across parts of west Texas.

....Discussion...
A deep midlevel cyclone will move east-southeastward across
northwest Mexico through the period. Modest midlevel height falls
preceding this feature, combined with weak warm advection, will
support an increase in precipitation across portions of west TX
during the overnight and morning hours. Gradual low/midlevel
moistening amid steep midlevel lapse rates (see 12Z observed DRT
sounding) will yield weak elevated buoyancy atop a sub-freezing
boundary layer. As a result, embedded convective elements will be
capable of isolated lightning flashes.

...Weinman.. 01/08/2025

$$

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