Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 07 2025 19:44:58

ACUS01 KWNS 071944
SWODY1
SPC AC 071942

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CST Tue Jan 07 2025

Valid 072000Z - 081200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....20z Update...
No changes, thunderstorm potential over the CONUS is low through
tonight. See the prior discussion for additional information.

...Lyons.. 01/07/2025

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CST Tue Jan 07 2025/

....Discussion...
Within the base of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the
West, a midlevel vorticity maximum will phase with steep midlevel
lapse rates over southwestern AZ today. While weak buoyancy will
develop atop a dry low-level air mass (inverted-V-type sounding),
convection should remain too weak for lightning owing to the limited
moisture. Elsewhere, a cold/dry air mass will preclude thunderstorm
potential across the CONUS.

$$

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