Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 07 2025 05:15:32

ACUS01 KWNS 070515
SWODY1
SPC AC 070514

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1114 PM CST Mon Jan 06 2025

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential is very low today.

....Discussion...

Mid-level speed max will strengthen as it digs south across CA and
off the Baja Peninsula. This will allow a short-wave trough to
settle south of the international border and close off over the
northern Gulf of CA by the end of the period. Large-scale
ascent/steepening lapse rates across AZ do result in some mid-level
moistening that leads to very weak buoyancy; however, forecast
soundings do not suggest adequate instability for any appreciable
risk of lightning with the weak convection that develops across this
region.

...Darrow/Wendt.. 01/07/2025

$$

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