Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0011
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jan 05 2025 18:23:55

ACUS11 KWNS 051823
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051823=20
LAZ000-TXZ000-052000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0011
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1223 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

Areas affected...portions of central and northern LA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 1...

Valid 051823Z - 052000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 1 continues.

SUMMARY...Some increase in tornado potential is expected over the
next 1-3 hours across portions of central and northern Louisiana and
vicinity.

DISCUSSION...Surface dewpoints have increased to the 64-67 F degree
range in a relatively narrow corridor ahead of the
eastward-advancing cold front and QLCS. Convection within this
corridor is strengthening within a zone of modest low-level
confluence. Isolated, semi-discrete cells have occasionally shown
moderate low and midlevel rotation. If this convection can continue
to mature as it moves through the moist axis and a zone of
relatively higher 0-1 km SRH, tornado potential may increase the
next couple of hours. Additionally, convection along the cold front
may also intensify as it moves into this more favorable environment.

...Leitman.. 01/05/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5M4uW3yG9rlQwZNJPADFfZ7gLi5rBWWU8LhKW_niXOK0i3gGoeO2rNoe9bp2CglWeix4oH-O3=
loT9yQIeYweZOMBDtI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON   31069257 30959282 30879302 30859321 30859355 30969374
            31039384 31289384 31759356 32689271 32799246 32879210
            32799188 32549182 32009200 31309235 31069257=20


=3D =3D =3D
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