Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jan 04 2025 19:30:14

ACUS03 KWNS 041930
SWODY3
SPC AC 041929

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0129 PM CST Sat Jan 04 2025

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN GEORGIA/NORTHERN FLORIDA VICINITY...

....SUMMARY...
Local severe risk will be possible on Monday from northern Florida
into southern and eastern Georgia.

....Synopsis...
A weakening mid-level low, expected to reside near the
Mid-Mississippi Valley early Monday, will shift quickly eastward,
moving off the Mid-Atlantic Coast through latter stages of the
period (Tuesday morning).  Meanwhile at the surface, an associated
cold front is forecast to sweep across the Southeast, clearing the
coastal Carolinas/Georgia by sunset, and then moving south/east of
Florida 12Z Tuesday.

....Parts of southern Georgia and northern Florida...
Showers and a few thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing along the
cold front at the start of the period, from the southern
Appalachians vicinity south-southwestward across the Florida
Panhandle and into the Gulf of Mexico.  Meager instability is
forecast ahead of the front, and with stronger large-scale forcing
for ascent well to the north of the region, these factors suggest
limited storm organization/intensity.  Still, with a favorably
sheared environment across the region, a few stronger
storms/segments are expected.  This suggests low-probability
potential for a couple of stronger gusts -- or even a brief tornado.
 As such, will maintain MRGL/5% risk across the southern
Georgia/northern Florida vicinity.

...Goss.. 01/04/2025

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.