Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2320
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Dec 29 2024 16:48:13

ACUS11 KWNS 291648
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291647=20
FLZ000-GAZ000-291815-

Mesoscale Discussion 2320
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1047 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024

Areas affected...Parts of north FL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 725...

Valid 291647Z - 291815Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 725 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for locally damaging gusts and a brief tornado
may persist into early afternoon.

DISCUSSION...The southern portion of a long-lived QLCS is moving
through north FL late this morning. While this portion of the QLCS
has not been very intense, modest downstream diurnal
heating/destabilization (with MLCAPE near/above 500 J/kg) could
result in some uptick in convective intensity into early afternoon.
The primary midlevel shortwave trough is lifting away from the
region this afternoon, but low-level and deep-layer shear will
remain somewhat favorable for organized convection, and locally
damaging gusts remain possible if a more-organized cold pool can
develop. A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out, especially near
the intersection of southward-moving outflow and the more
north-south oriented portion of the line across northeast FL.

...Dean.. 12/29/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-EKBhuR-sQMIprocUka4UHM_fA6ewXatztbqnTFrnX8gS0vjESOFkRcugBuLbPvF3FfVrZeqw=
DsgcT1LsnAVlDvR0Uo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON   30378209 30558154 30328108 29688104 29318165 29188211
            29168264 29238294 29658259 30378209=20


=3D =3D =3D
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