Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Dec 28 2024 09:58:31

ACUS48 KWNS 280958
SWOD48
SPC AC 280957

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0357 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024

Valid 311200Z - 051200Z

....DISCUSSION...
A strong upper trough and associated surface low/cold front will
move towards the Mid-Atlantic and southeast U.S. coast Tuesday, and
thunderstorms will be possible within a weakly unstable warm sector
as large-scale ascent increases during the day. Confidence in the
potential for stronger storms is low given the spatially confined
area and expected weak destabilization.

During the remainder of the week and, despite some model/ensemble
variability, there is general agreement on an eastern CONUS upper
trough and a ridge across the western U.S. This pattern does not
favor substantial/rapid moisture return in the wake of the prior
cold frontal passage, and overall thunderstorm chances will be very
low to nil Wednesday through Saturday.

...Bunting.. 12/28/2024

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