Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Dec 27 2024 10:00:19

ACUS48 KWNS 271000
SWOD48
SPC AC 270958

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0358 AM CST Fri Dec 27 2024

Valid 301200Z - 041200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Overall severe-weather potential should remain relatively low next
week, largely attributable to a frontal intrusion into the Gulf of
Mexico on Day 3/Sunday. Air mass modification/modest-caliber
elevated moisture return may occur Monday/Day 4 from the western
Gulf of Mexico into southeast Texas and Lower Mississippi Valley, as
a shortwave trough amplifies over the southern Plains and Ozarks. A
few strong storms cannot be entirely ruled out late Monday, but such
potential should remain low overall. Additional low-level moistening
will occur across parts of the Gulf Coast and Southeast on
Tuesday/Day 5 ahead of the amplifying mid-level trough and
associated cold front, but again, overall severe potential should
remain low given the moisture and instability limitations.

Convective potential should be very low, perhaps virtually nil,
between Wednesday-Friday Days 6-8 as cold/stable continental
trajectories prevail east of the Rockies.

...Guyer.. 12/27/2024

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