Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Dec 24 2024 16:25:28

ACUS01 KWNS 241625
SWODY1
SPC AC 241623

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1023 AM CST Tue Dec 24 2024

Valid 241630Z - 251200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS....

....SUMMARY...
Isolated to widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms capable
of large hail and damaging gusts are possible late this afternoon
into the overnight.

....Central/East TX...
Morning water vapor imagery shows a deepening upper trough digging
into the TX Panhandle region.  Southerly surface winds ahead of the
trough will draw 60s surface dewpoints northward into central/east
TX, ahead of an approaching cold front.  Visible satellite imagery
shows partial sunshine in the warm sector, which will lead of
steepening low-level lapse rates and further afternoon
destabilization.

Present indications are that scattered thunderstorms will begin to
intensify along the cold front by mid-afternoon.  Cool temperatures
aloft and sufficient deep-layer shear for rotating updrafts will
promote a risk of hail in the strongest cells.  Activity will build
southwestward along the front during the early evening into central
TX, with a continued risk of large hail and gusty winds.

...Hart/Moore.. 12/24/2024

$$

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