Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Dec 11 2024 00:57:10

ACUS01 KWNS 110057
SWODY1
SPC AC 110055

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0655 PM CST Tue Dec 10 2024

Valid 110100Z - 111200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MOUTH
OF THE MISSISSIPPI TO GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

....SUMMARY...
A couple of strong/potentially severe thunderstorms remain possible
-- mainly from portions of southern Alabama and the Florida
Panhandle into Georgia tonight.

....Mouth of the Mississippi to Georgia and the Florida Panhandle...
Meager instability is indicated ahead of a cold front advancing
across the Southeast this evening.  As a result of the lack of
appreciable CAPE, inland thunder has largely dissipated over the
past hour within the band of pre-frontal convection extending from
the central Appalachians to far southeastern Louisiana.

With that said, a very favorable kinematic environment for severe
storms remains in place, as the upper trough continues to advance
across the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys through the end
of the period.  Strong ascent will maintain convection near and
ahead of the frontal zone, and the aforementioned wind field
continues to suggest low-probability/MRGL risk for gusty winds
and/or a tornado into the overnight hours.

...Goss/Moore.. 12/11/2024

$$

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