Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Dec 08 2024 16:14:49

ACUS01 KWNS 081614
SWODY1
SPC AC 081613

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1013 AM CST Sun Dec 08 2024

Valid 081630Z - 091200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Lower MS Valley...
A weak upper low is tracking northeastward across the TX Panhandle
today, with the subtropical mid-level jet extending from northern
Mexico into the lower MS Valley.  Broad large-scale ascent has
resulted in periodic episodes of thunderstorms across TX overnight
and this morning.  This regime is expected to shift eastward today
into more of AR/LA and eventually the TN Valley overnight.
Low-level and deep-layer vertical shear is very strong, and there is
a low probability of a strong storm or two across northeast LA into
western/central MS late this afternoon capable of gusty winds.
However, thermodynamics are quite weak and the overall severe threat
appears too low to introduce probabilities.

...Hart/Squitieri.. 12/08/2024

$$

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