Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Dec 08 2024 00:26:44

ACUS01 KWNS 080026
SWODY1
SPC AC 080025

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0625 PM CST Sat Dec 07 2024

Valid 080100Z - 081200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected tonight.

....01z Update...

Southern-stream short-wave trough is advancing across NM/northern
Mexico as 500mb speed max translates into the Big Bend region.
Downstream, LLJ is focused across east TX and this should gradually
shift east overnight. Radar data supports this with significant
precip shield from southeast OK into northeast TX. While most of
this convection has been, and will likely continue to be,
lightning-free, a few elevated thunderstorms may yet develop across
this region ahead of the approaching short wave.

Scattered, weak convection is expected to develop across the Pacific
Northwest ahead of a short-wave trough tonight. Greatest potential
for lightning will be with updrafts influenced by the marine layer,
where buoyancy is bit higher.

...Darrow.. 12/08/2024

$$

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