Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Dec 06 2024 17:11:37

ACUS01 KWNS 061711
SWODY1
SPC AC 061709

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1109 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024

Valid 061630Z - 071200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected. Isolated weak thunderstorms
are possible today from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico to
East Texas.

....AZ/NM/TX...
A weak upper low is centered over southeast AZ this morning, with
the subtropical upper jet extending from northern Mexico into TX.
Weak large-scale ascent beneath the jet, coupled with increasing
low-level warm/moist advection will yield gradually increasing risk
of showers and a few widely scattered elevated thunderstorms through
tonight across much of central/south TX and southern AZ/NM.  Weak
instability will preclude the risk of severe thunderstorms.

...Hart/Squitieri.. 12/06/2024

$$

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