Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Dec 06 2024 12:56:03

ACUS01 KWNS 061255
SWODY1
SPC AC 061254

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024

Valid 061300Z - 071200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected. Isolated weak thunderstorms
are possible today from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico to
East Texas.

....Discussion...
Rising heights are expected today over much of the northern tier and
eastern seaboard in the wake of an exiting prominent upper-level
trough, while a slow-moving upper low persists over southern
portions of Arizona/New Mexico and northwest Mexico. A few
thunderstorms will be possible near/east of this upper low,
potentially including parts of southeast Arizona, southern New
Mexico, and far west Texas within a marginally unstable environment.
Modestly increasing warm advection/elevated moisture transport into
tonight should lead to an increase in elevated convection across
Texas, some of which will be capable of lightning, particularly
across central/north-central Texas tonight.

...Guyer/Broyles.. 12/06/2024

$$

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