Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Dec 04 2024 07:21:33

FOUS30 KWBC 040721
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
221 AM EST Wed Dec 4 2024

Day 1
Valid 12Z Wed Dec 04 2024 - 12Z Thu Dec 05 2024

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent. Strengthening warm/moist advection across east Texas
and Louisiana will result in widespread shower and thunderstorm=20
activity most of the day through early Thursday. Several areas of=20
2-4 inch rainfall totals are expected especially from southeast=20
Texas into central Louisiana. The rain will fall in areas that have
not experienced appreciable rainfall over at least the past week,=20
and models are inconsistent with depiction of any focused corridors
of heavier and/or training convection that could result in larger-
scale flash flood concerns. FFG thresholds are also relatively=20
high. <5% probabilities are maintained for this outlook with the=20
expectation that any flash flood concerns should be isolated at=20
best.

Cook

Day 2
Valid 12Z Thu Dec 05 2024 - 12Z Fri Dec 06 2024

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Wegman

Day 3
Valid 12Z Fri Dec 06 2024 - 12Z Sat Dec 07 2024

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Wegman


Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!8DW7nnqk-wT6QeWhC4nrwiTgoaBVKElV6Pb29N7VRt-f=
8_iRWOGbrWRtzVOFfAtBRjodC0U06BfjwbUwZQpHNBj66gA$=20
Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!8DW7nnqk-wT6QeWhC4nrwiTgoaBVKElV6Pb29N7VRt-f=
8_iRWOGbrWRtzVOFfAtBRjodC0U06BfjwbUwZQpHFT3VN4w$=20
Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!8DW7nnqk-wT6QeWhC4nrwiTgoaBVKElV6Pb29N7VRt-f=
8_iRWOGbrWRtzVOFfAtBRjodC0U06BfjwbUwZQpHrcNfioQ$=20

=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.