Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Nov 27 2024 09:02:19

ACUS48 KWNS 270902
SWOD48
SPC AC 270900

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0300 AM CST Wed Nov 27 2024

Valid 301200Z - 051200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Severe-thunderstorm potential still appears low through the extended
range. An upper-level trough is expected to persist across the
eastern CONUS through the period, as multiple reinforcing shortwaves
move southeastward from Canada. A surface ridge covering much of the
central/eastern CONUS will inhibit low-level moisture return through
most of the extended range. Guidance suggests potential for the
surface ridge to eventually shift eastward by D7/Tuesday into
D8/Wednesday, allowing for some moisture return into parts of Texas.
This could lead to an increase in thunderstorm activity, but the
displacement between stronger deep-layer flow/shear and any
appreciable surface-based instability currently appears too large to
support organized severe potential through early next week.

...Dean.. 11/27/2024

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.