Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Nov 25 2024 16:13:34

ACUS01 KWNS 251613
SWODY1
SPC AC 251611

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1011 AM CST Mon Nov 25 2024

Valid 251630Z - 261200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms not expected through tonight.

....Upper OH Valley...
Morning water vapor imagery shows a strong and progressive shortwave
trough moving across the central/northern Plains.  As this feature
tracks eastward, the associated surface cold front will advance
across the upper OH and TN Valleys.  Most 12z CAM solutions suggest
a corridor of slightly greater thunderstorm potential - mainly after
dark - along the front from eastern KY into adjacent parts of OH/WV
and eventually southwest PA.  Strong winds aloft and a rather
focused low-level jet feature may aid in the development of gusty
winds in sustained showers or thunderstorms in this region.
However, very minimal CAPE suggests the risk of severe storms is
rather low.

...Hart/Thornton.. 11/25/2024

$$

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