Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Nov 16 2024 09:44:45

ACUS48 KWNS 160944
SWOD48
SPC AC 160943

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 AM CST Sat Nov 16 2024

Valid 191200Z - 241200Z

....DISCUSSION...
....Tuesday/Day 4 and Wednesday/Day 5...
A mid-level trough is forecast to move into the Great Plains on
Tuesday, as a cold front advances eastward into the Ohio and
Tennessee Valleys. Thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of
the front during the day. An isolated potential for severe gusts
will be possible within a moist airmass across parts of the central
Gulf Coast States.

On Wednesday, the trough is forecast to move into the Ohio and
Tennessee Valleys, as the front advances eastward into the Carolinas
and north Florida. Isolated strong to severe gusts will be possible
with storms that develop along and ahead of the front, but the
threat should be marginal due to weak instability.

....Thursday/Day 6 to Saturday/Day 8...
From Thursday to Saturday, a mid-level low is forecast to move from
the Ohio Valley eastward into the western Atlantic. Thunderstorm
development will be possible Thursday afternoon ahead of the system
in the parts of the Northeast. A dry and relatively stable airmass
across the continental U.S. on Friday and Saturday should limit
thunderstorm potential in most areas.

...Broyles.. 11/16/2024

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