Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Nov 16 2024 00:31:14

ACUS01 KWNS 160031
SWODY1
SPC AC 160029

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0629 PM CST Fri Nov 15 2024

Valid 160100Z - 161200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Threat for lightning remains low tonight.

....01z Update...

Deep upper trough is advancing across the interior West early this
evening. Cooling profiles and steepening mid-level lapse rates have
contributed to weak buoyancy north of the main jet. As a result,
scattered weak convection is currently noted from the San JOAQUIN
Valley, across southern NV into southwest UT, along the surging cold
front. Most of this activity will remain too shallow for lightning
discharge, but a few flashes of lightning have been noted with the
deepest updrafts. Nocturnal cooling will lead to weaker updrafts and
the prospect for thunderstorms remains low tonight.

...Darrow.. 11/16/2024

$$

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