Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 15 2024 00:34:06

ACUS01 KWNS 150034
SWODY1
SPC AC 150032

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0632 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

Valid 150100Z - 151200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS COASTAL
CAROLINAS...

....SUMMARY...
A few strong to severe thunderstorms posing a risk for gusty winds
and perhaps a tornado could still occur across parts of coastal
North Carolina this tonight.

....01z Update...

Mid-level speed max digging across the southern Appalachians will
translate across the Carolinas tonight. This feature will induce
cyclogenesis along a coastal boundary, and the deepening low should
track northeast, just off the NC coast later this evening. Weak
convection is currently noted along the wind shift from southeast SC
into extreme southern NC. As the front sharpens, this activity may
continue to deepen and lightning is expected to develop as updrafts
penetrate colder temperatures. Earlier thoughts regarding a low risk
for severe continue. Strongly sheared environment remains conducive
for updraft organization, and there is some potential near-coastal
convection could briefly attain severe levels before moving
offshore. Even so, any severe threat will remain isolated.

...Darrow.. 11/15/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.