Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Nov 14 2024 00:57:43

FOUS30 KWBC 140057
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
757 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

Day 1
Valid 01Z Thu Nov 14 2024 - 12Z Thu Nov 14 2024

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA INTO FAR WESTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

....0100 UTC Update...
Based on the latest observational and mesoanalysis trends, have
pared the western periphery of the Marginal Risk area across the
central and southern MS Valley, while also shifting the Slight Risk
region to parts of southeast MS into southern AL and far western
FL. This was based on the latest HREF and HRRR output, along with
the fact that the FFG values in and around the MOB area are lower
comparatively.=20

Hurley


Day 2
Valid 12Z Thu Nov 14 2024 - 12Z Fri Nov 15 2024

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Pereira


Day 3
Valid 12Z Fri Nov 15 2024 - 12Z Sat Nov 16 2024

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Pereira


Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!57dUM93DJD57Ob65bi5dEwkUDfXwOwilZZSXg9b2vp1y=
lRLD4hAf85cPRzthqhQ3KzaQyiCN-XsxJSz2T07BAOjDn1c$=20
Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!57dUM93DJD57Ob65bi5dEwkUDfXwOwilZZSXg9b2vp1y=
lRLD4hAf85cPRzthqhQ3KzaQyiCN-XsxJSz2T07BPPa2YDY$=20
Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!57dUM93DJD57Ob65bi5dEwkUDfXwOwilZZSXg9b2vp1y=
lRLD4hAf85cPRzthqhQ3KzaQyiCN-XsxJSz2T07BLzKTI_0$=20

=3D =3D =3D
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