Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2222
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 08 2024 21:36:47

ACUS11 KWNS 082136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082136=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-082330-

Mesoscale Discussion 2222
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0336 PM CST Fri Nov 08 2024

Areas affected...south-central Oklahoma to central Texas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 708...

Valid 082136Z - 082330Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 708 continues.

SUMMARY...Local, all-hazards severe risk continues across WW 708.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop depicts essentially a steady-state
character over the past 1 to 2 hours, in terms of convective
intensity.  A few storms have exhibited transient/weak rotation, and
the strongest portion of the line -- extending from south-central
Oklahoma to just west of the DFW Metroplex -- remains loosely
organized.  Still, some additional destabilization has occurred in
the past two hours -- particularly from the Metroplex southward,
where lesser cloud cover has permitted heating sufficient to push
mixed-layer CAPE into the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range per RAP-based
objective analysis.  Given the sufficient background shear which
remains in place, potential for some ramp-up in severe potential
could occur over the next 1 to 2 hours, primarily across the
southern half of the WW.

...Goss.. 11/08/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8BgWZZfCDRI6MkPRuREyopHSIYhEguIittZwprQq8sioRysKbqjsK67LR3bU2b2nBaT8t90Pa=
E6NhZD1r1mgw2yvSf4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...

LAT...LON   34659810 34749769 34269668 31049597 30999795 32809785
            33739780 34659810=20


=3D =3D =3D
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