Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Nov 07 2024 00:42:33

ACUS01 KWNS 070042
SWODY1
SPC AC 070040

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0640 PM CST Wed Nov 06 2024

Valid 070100Z - 071200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS...

....SUMMARY...
A couple of brief tornadoes remain possible within outermost fringes
of the circulation of Hurricane Rafael this evening.

....01z Update...

Hurricane Rafael has crossed Cuba and is moving northwest into the
southeast Gulf of Mexico. Center of circulation is about 125 mi
southwest of KEY, and the outer-most convective bands continue to
influence the Keys. Over the last few hours, 3km SRH has begun to
gradually decrease at BYX, suggesting that the greatest tornado
threat has likely peaked, and should continue to decrease through
the overnight hours. Will maintain tornado probabilities across
portions of south Florida, but this is primarily for this evening.

...Darrow.. 11/07/2024

$$

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