Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Oct 30 2024 00:48:39

ACUS01 KWNS 300048
SWODY1
SPC AC 300046

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2024

Valid 300100Z - 301200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm development may occur early Wednesday morning across
parts of the southern/central Plains into the Upper Mississippi
Valley.

....Synopsis...
A pronounced mid-level trough over the Rockies will continue to
progress eastward toward the Plains tonight. In advance of the
mid-level trough, broad surface lee troughing is taking place across
the central U.S., where an intense (50-60kt) low-level jet is
expected to develop, leading to ample northward low-level
warm-air/moisture advection through the remainder of the period.
Given the gradual approach of favorable upper-level support,
thunderstorm initiation has become more questionable before 12Z.
Nonetheless, thunder probabilities have been maintained in the event
that thunderstorms can develop atop a moist boundary layer.
A couple of lightning flashes also cannot be ruled out over portions
of the TX Gulf Coast given onshore advection of rich low-level
moisture.

...Squitieri.. 10/30/2024

$$

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