Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Oct 26 2024 12:46:17

ACUS01 KWNS 261246
SWODY1
SPC AC 261244

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 AM CDT Sat Oct 26 2024

Valid 261300Z - 271200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

....Discussion...
A progressive and semi-amplified large-scale pattern will persist,
with mean upper ridging over the Rockies/High Plains and broad
troughing over the eastern CONUS. This flow regime ensures richer
moisture/instability will remain suppressed across lower latitudes
as northwesterly flow aloft dominates much of the country east of
the Rockies. A surface cold front will continue to settle
south-southeastward today across the southern Appalachians, Lower
Mississippi Valley and ArkLaTex. Boundary-layer heating will be
prominent especially within a corridor from the southern Arklatex to
northern Alabama and South Carolina. Forecast soundings suggest some
potential for lightning discharge in the deepest updrafts, although
lightning-producing convection is expected to remain rather sparse,
and mainly during the afternoon through early evening hours.

...Guyer/Leitman.. 10/26/2024

$$

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