Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Oct 23 2024 16:26:52

ACUS01 KWNS 231626
SWODY1
SPC AC 231625

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1125 AM CDT Wed Oct 23 2024

Valid 231630Z - 241200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms remain unlikely through tonight.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
An upper trough will continue moving eastward today from the Great
Lakes to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. A related surface cold
front will likewise advance eastward across these areas, with
shallow convection possible along its length. Limited low-level
moisture and poor lapse rates aloft will likely hinder the
development of sufficient instability to support charge separation
and lightning.

Very isolated convection may also develop late this afternoon
through tonight across parts of the Ozarks, along/near the southern
flank of the surface cold. Although some low-level moisture and
instability will be present along/south of the front, large-scale
ascent is forecast to remain minimal across this region.
Accordingly, overall thunderstorm chances still appear less than 10%
through the end of the period.

...Gleason/Thornton.. 10/23/2024

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.