Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Oct 14 2024 05:47:17

ACUS01 KWNS 140547
SWODY1
SPC AC 140545

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 AM CDT Mon Oct 14 2024

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
No severe thunderstorms are anticipated today.

....Synopsis...
A mid-level shortwave trough, evident on water vapor imagery this
morning across the southern Great Lakes will strengthen as it
accelerates toward the Northeast while the associated mid-level
trough becomes negatively tilted. This will likely result in the
surface low deepening as it moves up the northeast coast. Some
elevated thunderstorms may develop along and behind the surface
front/low as it moves northeast across eastern Maine and Cape Cod.
Instability should be limited and thus, the severe weather threat
should be minimal.

Continued cold air advection across the Great Lakes will result in
some lake effect convection. Some of this convection may deepen
enough to produce lightning, especially during the evening.

A few thunderstorms are possible in Utah, northern New Mexico, and
western Colorado as an upper-low slowly drifts southeast today. Very
weak instability should limit any severe weather potential with this
activity.

...Bentley.. 10/14/2024

$$

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