Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Oct 12 2024 16:08:31

ACUS01 KWNS 121608
SWODY1
SPC AC 121606

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1106 AM CDT Sat Oct 12 2024

Valid 121630Z - 131200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely today and tonight.

....Great Lakes Region...
Another relatively quiet convective day is anticipated across the
CONUS, with most areas dry and stable.  One exception will be along
and north of a surface boundary extending across northern IN.  A
fast-moving shortwave trough currently over MI/WI will track along
this boundary, aiding in the development of late afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms - mainly over southern Lower MI.
Forecast soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates and strong winds
aloft, but very limited moisture and CAPE.  The strongest cells may
produce small hail and gusty winds, but current indications are that
severe thunderstorms are unlikely.

Other thunderstorms may affect portions of south FL and the Keys
this afternoon, but no severe storms are expected.

...Hart/Weinman.. 10/12/2024

$$

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