Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Thu Oct 10 2024 17:27:15 ACUS02 KWNS 101727 SWODY2 SPC AC 101725 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ....Great Lakes into New England... A mid/upper-level shortwave trough and attendant jet maximum are forecast to move quickly east-southeastward across the Great Lakes vicinity through the day, and then reach New England by later Friday night. A cold front will move across parts of the Great Lakes, upper Midwest, and eventually parts of the Northeast in conjunction with this system. Scant low-level moisture is expected ahead of the front, limiting the thunderstorm potential across much of the warm sector. Very modest buoyancy may develop across the Great Lakes region during the afternoon, and into northern New England late Friday night, where low to mid-level moisture is expected to increase amid cooling mid-level temperatures. This will result in the potential for weak convection with sporadic lightning flashes. At this time, there is a somewhat stronger signal for thunderstorm potential across parts of WI/MI, where a general thunderstorm area has been maintained. A few flashes cannot be ruled out into New England Friday night, though this potential is more uncertain. Low/midlevel flow will be rather strong, so locally gusty winds will be possible if any relatively deep and sustained convection can develop across the region. ....Elsewhere... Elevated convection that may develop late in the D1/Thursday period across OK and north TX could persist into Friday morning, with some thunder potential. Convection may become deep enough to support some thunderstorm potential across the FL Keys, and possibly into southern portions of the FL Peninsula. A mid/upper-level shortwave trough will move into parts of central/northern CA and the Pacific Northwest, but thunderstorm potential across the region currently appears limited due to very weak instability. ...Dean.. 10/10/2024 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .