Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2143
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Oct 09 2024 20:16:19

ACUS11 KWNS 092016
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092015=20
FLZ000-092145-

Mesoscale Discussion 2143
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0315 PM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024

Areas affected...East Central and Southeastern Florida

Concerning...Tornado Watch 690...

Valid 092015Z - 092145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 690 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado threat continues across east central and
southeastern Florida. A strong tornado or two remains possible.

DISCUSSION...Supercell thunderstorms continue to produce tornadoes
across east central and southeastern Florida. East to southeasterly
surface flow has increased with a very favorable curved hodograph
observed from the VAD profile at MLB (Melbourne, FL) and effective
SRH around 300 m2/s2. MLCAPE continues to be favorable (around
1000-2000 J/kg), though the corridor has narrowed towards the
eastern coast of the peninsula. This environment will continue to
support a risk of tornadoes, a few of which may be strong, over the
next few hours before loss of daytime heating begins.

...Thornton/Smith.. 10/09/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6rzJ3QAu7F1puuvcJS5hNkhunRHR2FCQ78PrpuEV79323NqWvGX_8uT1cgRiBIWn5C5WZVUoG=
iLAGexc-YAUUIYv4GU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON   26258068 26798092 27478112 27988131 28338138 28688117
            28748082 28578047 28178017 27667999 27027985 26427987
            26147990 25918002 25868024 25838050 25958067 26258068=20


=3D =3D =3D
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