Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Oct 07 2024 05:51:28

ACUS01 KWNS 070551
SWODY1
SPC AC 070549

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1249 AM CDT Mon Oct 07 2024

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible across parts of
southern New England and the Florida Peninsula today, with a few
lightning flashes also possible over the Sierra into the western
Great Basin. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

....Synopsis...
A broad mid-level trough will continue to amplify across the
Northeast while ejecting into the Atlantic, with upper ridging
poised to build into the western and central CONUS today. Surface
high pressure and associated static stability should limit
thunderstorm development over several locales, from the
Intermountain West to the Appalachian Mountains. A few thunderstorms
may develop ahead of a surface cold front across portions of New
England this morning, as well as the Carolinas this afternoon.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are also likely over portions of
the central/southern FL Peninsula as rich moisture advects inland
ahead of Hurricane Milton. Isolated thunderstorms may occur over and
to the lee of the Sierra as a weak mid-level impulse traverses the
area this afternoon. Lastly, a couple of lightning flashes cannot be
ruled out over northeast Lower MI with a passing impulse. However,
thunderstorm coverage currently appears too sparse to warrant
thunder probabilities.

...Squitieri/Goss.. 10/07/2024

$$

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