Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Oct 07 2024 00:47:25

ACUS01 KWNS 070047
SWODY1
SPC AC 070045

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0745 PM CDT Sun Oct 06 2024

Valid 070100Z - 071200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS...

....SUMMARY...
A couple instances of severe hail or damaging gusts remain possible
across the central/northern Appalachians through early tonight.

....Synopsis...
A line of strong to occasionally severe thunderstorms continues to
track east along the windward side of the central and northern
Appalachians ahead of a surface lee trough. Though these storms have
a history of marginally severe hail and damaging gusts, the primary
convective band is beginning to outpace the warm sector while
tracking eastward. Nocturnal cooling will also contribute to further
boundary-layer stabilization. Still, strong vertical wind shear is
in place, evident via regional VADs, which depict large, curved
hodographs. As such, any storms that can access the remaining scant
buoyancy may still produce a couple instances of marginally severe
hail or damaging gusts over the next few hours.

...Squitieri.. 10/07/2024

$$

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