Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Oct 04 2024 16:24:28

ACUS01 KWNS 041624
SWODY1
SPC AC 041622

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1122 AM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024

Valid 041630Z - 051200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Synopsis...
A mid-level shortwave trough over the western Great Lakes will
continue to quickly move east through the afternoon and a lingering
thunderstorm cluster over west-central IL late this morning will
gradually diminish as this disturbance becomes displaced.

Farther south, isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be
possible from parts of the Mid-Atlantic southwestward to the Gulf
Coast/Southeast.  Weak flow will limit storm intensity in these
regions.  A vigorous shortwave trough will move across the Pacific
Northwest and northern Rockies/Plains through tonight.  While
large-scale forcing and mid-level flow associated with the upper
trough passage will be strong, thunderstorm coverage is expected to
remain sparse due to a rather dry airmass present across these
areas.

...Smith/Lyons.. 10/04/2024

$$

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