Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Oct 03 2024 19:20:19

ACUS03 KWNS 031920
SWODY3
SPC AC 031919

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0219 PM CDT Thu Oct 03 2024

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Potential for severe storms appears low on Saturday.

....Discussion...
A strong mid-level short-wave trough within fast northern-stream
flow over the northern U.S. will cross the northern Plains and
eventually move into the Upper Great Lakes region Saturday.
Accompanying this trough, a surface low will advance quickly across
the Canadian Prairie while a trailing cold front shifts
southeastward across the northern and eventually the central Plains,
and the Upper Midwest region, through the period.

Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms should again affect
southeastern Atlantic and Gulf Coast areas, while showers and
thunderstorms also evolve during the afternoon and evening across
the Upper Mississippi Valley/Upper Great Lakes area.  Here, modest
low-level moisture but steepening mid-level lapse rates suggests
that convection should remain largely elevated atop a weakly stable
boundary layer.  Still, with strong west-southwesterly flow through
the lower half of the troposphere, a few stronger updrafts --
possibly capable of producing hail or even locally gusty winds --
may occur.  At this time, any risk for severe-caliber events appears
likely to remain low, and thus no hail/wind probabilities will be
included at this time.

...Goss.. 10/03/2024

$$

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