Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Oct 03 2024 04:57:33

ACUS01 KWNS 030457
SWODY1
SPC AC 030455

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1155 PM CDT Wed Oct 02 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday.

....Synopsis...

Weak deep layer flow will persist across the southern half of the
CONUS, where mean upper level ridging will remain in place. A more
amplified/fast upper flow patter will develop over the northern
U.S./Great Lakes vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will sag
south and east across much of the Midwest. Meager boundary layer
moisture ahead of the front will limit instability, but a few
thunderstorms may develop overnight across IA/IL. Severe storms are
not expected.

Isolated thunderstorm are expected further south across the central
Gulf Coast region where deeper boundary layer moisture will be in
place. Sufficient instability and a weak disturbance moving
northward across the Gulf into the South will support isolated to
scatter thunderstorms from the central Gulf Coast into FL. Weak deep
layer flow and poor lapse rates will preclude severe thunderstorm
potential.

...Leitman.. 10/03/2024

$$

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