Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Oct 02 2024 16:23:28

ACUS01 KWNS 021623
SWODY1
SPC AC 021621

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1121 AM CDT Wed Oct 02 2024

Valid 021630Z - 031200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Synopsis...
Latest visible satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a
quasi-stationary surface boundary extending across portions of
northern FL. South of the boundary, diurnal heating of a moist air
mass, coupled with sea breeze circulations, will support scattered
diurnal thunderstorm development. Deep tropospheric moisture and
steepening low-level lapse rates may support a few wet microbursts
with strong-gust potential over central FL -- where any localized
clustering occurs. However, weak deep-layer shear and poor midlevel
lapse rates should limit the organization and intensity of storms.

...Weinman.. 10/02/2024

$$

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