Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Oct 02 2024 04:57:55

ACUS01 KWNS 020457
SWODY1
SPC AC 020456

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 PM CDT Tue Oct 01 2024

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday.

....Synopsis...
A relatively dry and/or stable pattern will exist across most of the
CONUS today, with high pressure centered over the Great Basin and
lower MO/mid MS Valleys. Strong west to northwest flow aloft will
exist across the northern tier of states, around the southern
periphery of a large upper-level cyclone over central Canada.

The greatest chance for general thunderstorms will be relegated to
the FL Peninsula, where a stalled boundary will exist. Here, mid 70s
F dewpoints and daytime heating will yield around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE,
and midlevel lapse rates will be poor. Shear will be weak, but
outflow will likely be produced as storm coverage increases during
the afternoon over the interior.

...Jewell/Bentley.. 10/02/2024

$$

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