Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Oct 02 2024 00:28:23

ACUS01 KWNS 020028
SWODY1
SPC AC 020026

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0726 PM CDT Tue Oct 01 2024

Valid 020100Z - 021200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Discussion...
Scattered thunderstorms persist this evening within the moist air
mass over the FL Peninsula, where wind fields aloft are light. Storm
coverage should gradually decrease as the air mass is overturned and
boundary layer cools.

Elsewhere, isolated lightning flashes cannot be ruled out in
association with the upper trough moving across eastern Ontario and
affecting the lower Great Lakes. Lapse rates and instability remain
weak in this region.

Easterly winds aloft will also carry isolated thunderstorms over far
southern AZ westward along the Mexican border this evening, where
they may persist in association with Gulf of CA moisture. Any
marginally severe threat thus appears most likely across the
international border.

...Jewell.. 10/02/2024

$$

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