Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Sep 30 2024 00:57:01

ACUS01 KWNS 300056
SWODY1
SPC AC 300055

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

Valid 300100Z - 301200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast for the remainder of the
period.

....Discussion...
Scattered low-topped convection remains ongoing from WV into VA and
central NC, where weak instability exists. This activity will
continue to diminish with the loss of heating.

To the south, stronger storms exist over the east-central FL
Peninsula near Cape Canaveral. However, this activity is mostly
producing heavy rain and lightning in a weak-shear environment, and
will continue to spread offshore. Additional isolated activity
cannot be ruled out a bit farther south and within the instability
axis.

Elsewhere, high-based convection from northern AZ across UT will
gradually weaken as well with the loss of heating and as the
influence of the upper trough to the north lessens.

...Jewell.. 09/30/2024

$$

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