Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Sep 29 2024 00:42:18

ACUS01 KWNS 290042
SWODY1
SPC AC 290040

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0740 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

Valid 290100Z - 291200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Minimal thunderstorm chances exist through the remainder of the
period.

....Discussion...
Very little lightning is noted across the CONUS as of 01Z. A few
convective showers persist over interior parts of the FL Peninsula,
where the air mass remains very moist with upper 70s F dewpoints.
However, diurnal cooling and lack of appreciable lift should result
in a further reduction in coverage this evening.

Farther west under the upper ridge, isolated activity will weaken as
well over the higher terrain of northern NM, with further
thunderstorm chances below the 10% threshold.

Overnight, additional thunderstorms will be possible over the
eastern Gulf of Mexico and perhaps toward the Tampa FL area, within
the deeper theta-e plume. Lack of shear and poor lapse rates aloft
suggest weak activity.

...Jewell.. 09/29/2024

$$

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