Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Sep 28 2024 00:57:08

ACUS01 KWNS 280057
SWODY1
SPC AC 280055

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0755 PM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024

Valid 280100Z - 281200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN
VIRGINIA...THE DELMARVA...AND FAR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

....SUMMARY...
Severe weather potential is forecast to be minimal for the remainder
of the period.

....Discussion...
The remnants of Helene will remain over the lower OH Valley through
tonight, with dry air wrapping around across the Appalachians and
into eastern KY/OH. Farther east, drying into eastern VA and
vicinity will be more gradual as 850 mb winds veer.

In the near term, an area of moisture, instability, and favorable
low-level shear will affect much of eastern VA into the DelMarVa and
into northeast NC. Storms coverage is expected to remain isolated
through the evening, though a brief tornado cannot be ruled out with
any small, long-lived storms. Loss of heating as well as drying
aloft should preclude any substantial increase in storm coverage.

...Jewell.. 09/28/2024

$$

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