Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Sep 27 2024 05:45:31

ACUS02 KWNS 270545
SWODY2
SPC AC 270543

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1243 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.

....Synopsis...
The upper-level low across the Ohio Valley will be in the process of
weakening on Saturday. There will be a lingering mid-level jet
across parts of Southeast into the southern Appalachians. However,
dry air wrapping into the Southeast, along with remaining cloud
cover and precipitation, should keep convection shallow and
surface-based buoyancy to a minimum.

Rich moisture will remain across much of the Florida Peninsula.
Sufficient surface heating is expected to promote the development of
isolated thunderstorms during the afternoon. Poor lapse rates aloft
and the displacement of the stronger mid-level winds well to the
north will keep severe potential low with this activity.

A pocket of mid-level moisture in the Four Corners vicinity may
promote some convection in the higher terrain of south-central
Colorado into north-central New Mexico. Forecast soundings suggest
most convection will not be deep enough for charge separation except
perhaps on an isolated basis. Thunderstorm potential should remain
below 10%.

...Wendt.. 09/27/2024

$$

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