Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Sep 09 2024 08:52:42

ACUS48 KWNS 090852
SWOD48
SPC AC 090851

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0351 AM CDT Mon Sep 09 2024

Valid 121200Z - 171200Z

....DISCUSSION...
....Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6...
A tropical cyclone is forecast to move slowly northward through the
lower to mid Mississippi Valley from Thursday to Saturday. A tornado
threat will be possible to the east of the center across much of the
central Gulf Coast region on Thursday. Model forecasts suggest that
the tornado threat could shift northward into the Tennessee Valley
on Friday. On Saturday, uncertainty is considerable concerning the
location of any tropical cyclone remnants. If current solutions are
reasonably close, then a tornado threat would be possible in the
Southeast, potentially from the southern Appalachians into the
Carolinas.

....Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8...
Mid-level flow is forecast to be relatively weak across the central
and eastern U.S. on Sunday and Monday. The diffuse pattern and weak
deep-layer shear across most of the U.S. suggests that the severe
potential will remain low.

...Broyles.. 09/09/2024

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