Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Sep 09 2024 07:24:41

ACUS03 KWNS 090724
SWODY3
SPC AC 090723

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0223 AM CDT Mon Sep 09 2024

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION....

....SUMMARY...
An isolated tornado threat is expected to develop across the central
Gulf Coast Wednesday and Wednesday night.

....Central Gulf Coast...
A tropical storm is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to
develop across the western Gulf of Mexico today, and move
north-northeastward toward the coast of Louisiana on Tuesday and
Wednesday. Although uncertainty is substantial concerning landfall
and intensity, the system is forecast to become a hurricane and move
onshore into southwestern Louisiana early Wednesday evening. If this
were to happen, an isolated tornado threat would be expected across
much of the central Gulf Coast from Wednesday afternoon into the
overnight period. Forecast soundings near the location of expected
landfall have 0-3 km storm-relative helicity in the 300 to 500 m2/s2
range, with strong low-level shear extending eastward across much of
the central Gulf Coast region. If the current scenario plays out as
expected, an isolated tornado threat would develop, from near the
landfall location eastward across southern Mississippi, southern
Alabama into the western Florida Panhandle. The threat would
continue throughout the central Gulf Coast region through late in
the period, as the system moves inland into the lower Mississippi
Valley.

...Broyles.. 09/09/2024

$$

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