Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Sep 01 2024 08:50:43

ACUS48 KWNS 010850
SWOD48
SPC AC 010849

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0349 AM CDT Sun Sep 01 2024

Valid 041200Z - 091200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Similar to 24 hours prior, global model solutions with respect to
the large-scale pattern evolution over the U.S. begin substantial
divergence relatively early in the medium-range period.  This
deviation in solutions becomes readily apparent by Friday (Day 6),
and the differences preclude any meaningful assessment of severe
risk beyond Thursday (Day 5).

Through Day 5, severe-weather risk appears likely to remain minimal.
 Though a cold front is forecast to cross the northern Plains
Wednesday (Day 4) and the Upper Mississippi Valley/Upper Great Lakes
region Thursday (Day 5), low-level moisture -- and thus potential
for destabilization -- is forecast to remain limited ahead of the
front.  As such, appreciable severe risk appears unlikely at this
time.

...Goss.. 09/01/2024

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