Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2021
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Aug 28 2024 00:40:30

ACUS11 KWNS 280040
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280039=20
PAZ000-NYZ000-OHZ000-280215-

Mesoscale Discussion 2021
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0739 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Areas affected...portions of far northern Ohio into extreme
northwestern Pennsylvania and extreme southwestern New York

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 659...

Valid 280039Z - 280215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 659
continues.

SUMMARY...Some severe threat will persist for a few more hours in
and immediately surrounding Severe Thunderstorm Watch 659. Damaging
gusts remain the primary concern.

DISCUSSION...A pronounced cold pool, originating from a mature
persistent elongated convective system, has surged southeastward
across Lake Erie over the past couple of hours. At least a few
severe gusts have been observed, and some convective rejuvenation
has occurred along the cold pool leading edge. Buoyancy
decreases/MLCINH increases with eastward and southward extent ahead
of the ongoing storms/cold pool. However, the fast pace of the cold
pool suggests that continued cellular regeneration and accompanying
damaging wind gust potential will continue for at least a couple
more hours.

...Squitieri.. 08/28/2024

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4Bld-fStB7bXno4yaJ0l6g85xvAotDzhS_dlxGQQcpbdj6GIhGFLaULkHZKrBRdiY0HX-egys=
ToTJ4Y9LFI4ecCFMy0$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

LAT...LON   40858328 41748140 42268059 42427980 42427919 42177908
            41847921 41387970 41068055 40838138 40638224 40858328=20


=3D =3D =3D
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